Gregory Daggett – November 9, 2022

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    Dear City Council, Planning Commission, Staff, and City of Arcata Leaders,
    The last few months I have been very vocal at the Planning Commission and City Council meeting regarding conflict that
    the Gateway Area Plan building heights has with the Coastal Act, Sea Level Rise in California:Planning for the Future and
    transportation circulations issues SB1000. https://www.coastal.ca.gov/climate/slr/
    The Coastal Act Laws and Regulation Chapter 3‐Coastal Resources Planning and Management Policies Article 6 30251
    states
    The scenic and visual qualities of coastal areas shall be considered and protected as a resource of public importance.
    Permitted development shall be sited and designed to protect views to and along the ocean and scenic coastal areas, to
    minimize the alteration of natural land forms, to be visually compatible with the character of surrounding areas, and,
    where feasible, to restore and enhance visual quality in visually degraded areas. New development in highly scenic areas
    such as those designated in the California Coastline Preservation and Recreation Plan prepared by the Department of
    Parks and Recreation and by local government shall be subordinate to the character of its setting.
    (Added by Stats. 1976, Ch. 1330.)
    SB 1000‐Environmental Justice in Local Land Use Planning. “Environmental justice” is defined in California law as the fair
    treatment of people of all races, cultures, and incomes with respect to the development, adoption, implementation, and
    enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies. (Cal. Gov. Code, § 65040.12, subd. (e).)
    (a) A land use element that designates the proposed general distribution and general location and extent of the uses of
    the land for housing, business, industry, open space, including agriculture, natural resources, recreation, and enjoyment
    of scenic beauty, education, public buildings and grounds, solid and liquid waste disposal facilities, and other categories
    of public and private uses of land. The location and designation of the extent of the uses of the land for public and
    private uses shall consider the identification of land and natural resources pursuant to paragraph (3) of subdivision (d).
    The land use element shall include a statement of the standards of population density and building intensity
    recommended for the various districts and other territory covered by the plan. The land use element shall identify and
    annually review those areas covered by the plan that are subject to flooding identified by flood plain mapping prepared
    by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) or the Department of Water Resources.
    A noise element that shall identify and appraise noise problems in the community. The noise element shall analyze and
    quantify, to the extent practicable, as determined by the legislative body, current and projected noise levels for all of the
    following sources:
    (A) Highways and freeways.

    (B) Primary arterials and major local streets.
    Noise contours shall be shown for all of these sources and stated in terms of community noise equivalent level (CNEL) or
    day‐night average sound level (Ldn). The noise contours shall be prepared on the basis of noise monitoring or following
    generally accepted noise modeling techniques for the various sources identified in paragraphs (1) to (6), inclusive.
    The noise contours shall be used as a guide for establishing a pattern of land uses in the land use element that minimizes
    the exposure of community residents to excessive noise.
    California Environmental Quality Act & Environmental Impact Report. The study is based on standard checklists covering
    topics such as air quality, traffic, and noise. The environmental effects of a project will cause substantial adverse effects
    on human beings, either directly or indirectly. The EIR shall also analyze any significant environmental effects the project
    might cause or risk exacerbating by bringing development and people into the area affected. The Noise Element is
    required by California cities and counties (Government Code Section 65302) It falls under the California General Plan
    Guidelines. Local governments must analyze and quantify noise levels, and the extent of noise exposure, through actual
    measurements. Under Government code section 65302(f) Noise Element Requirement primary arterial and major
    streets such as H and 16th streets, G street, K street, to be monitored and noise research be done such as Average daily
    level of activity (traffic volume per days of the week, and seasonal variations. Distribution of activity over day and night
    time periods, day of the week, and seasonal variations. Average noise level emitted by the source. City of Arcata 3.1.1
    Noise Element. Within the Noise Element of the General Plan, it specifies an exterior noise standard of 60 dB CNEL and
    an interior noise standard of 45 dB CNEL for multi‐family residential. The Secretary of Interior’s Standards for the
    treatment of Historic Properties, Preserving windows, and the relation to noise/environment for Historic Neighborhoods
    and houses, circulation systems, such as roads and streets. The Circulation system of traffic flow using the H street and G
    street for exiting and entering 101 North freeway is a disaster. The quality of life for people living on these busy streets
    in the future will be unbearable with the increase in air pollution and noise. This is a violation of SB1000 Environmental
    Justice in local planning.
    The Gateway Area Plan must do an EIR on the noise exposure from the addition of thousands of more vehicles using the
    major streets H & 16th streets, G street, 8th and 9th Streets, K street and Alliance Road. Government section
    65302(f)Noise Element Requirement primary arterial and major streets that falls under the California Environmental
    Quality Act and the California General Plan Guidelines.
    In the near future Cal Poly Humboldt is building additional housing for 2,400 students with the goal of building additional
    housing in the future.
    Craftsman Student Housing the project will resemble prior planning infill housing at the site. Total project budget 150
    million. Planned opening Dec 2024
    Library Circle Student Housing, Health, and Dining Building & Parking Structure. Total Project budget 175 million.
    Planned opening August 2026
    Campus Apartments Student Housing and Parking Structure. Total project budget 110 million. Planned opening August
    2026.
    All of these projects at Cal Poly and the 3,500 units Gateway Area Project will be putting too much traffic, noise and air
    pollution on the North‐town and Downtown of Arcata. Look at how the California courts ruled in the Berkeley vrs
    Berkeley case regarding CEQA requirements and the inadequate environmental impact report addressing polluting
    neighborhoods with traffic and noise. After air pollution, noise is the second biggest environmental factor causing health
    problems, increasing the risk of cardiovascular disorders, high blood pressure, sleep disruption, hearing loss, and heart
    attacks. Noise exposure has also been linked to cognitive impairment and behavioral issues in children. All people have
    the right to a reasonably quiet environment.

    A safety element for the protection of the community from any unreasonable risks associated with the effects of
    seismically induced surface rupture, ground shaking, ground failure, tsunami, seiche, and dam failure; slope instability
    leading to mudslides and landslides; subsidence; liquefaction; and other seismic hazards identified pursuant to Chapter
    7.8 (commencing with Section 2690) of Division 2 of
    the Public Resources Code, and other geologic hazards known to the legislative body; flooding; and wildland and urban
    fires. The safety element shall include mapping of known seismic and other geologic hazards. It shall also address
    evacuation routes, military installations, peak load water supply requirements, and minimum road widths and
    clearances around structures, as those items relate to identified fire and geologic hazards. Tsunami Mapping page 7 for
    Arcata. https://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/tsu400/documents/Course 1 Day 2/Session 11/NCEE patton dengler.pdf Updat
    e to the NOAA Dengler was published by Lori Dengler on Oct 8th,2022.
    Lori Dengler | What sea level rise, tectonics mean for
    North Coast

    NOAA relative sea level rise is shown from tide gauge trends graphic. Numbers are in mmillimeters per year. If the
    current trend at the North Spit gauge continued for 100 years, the water level would rise 1.6 feet. (Contributed)
    By Lori Dengler |
    PUBLISHED: October 8, 2022 at 12:14 p.m. | UPDATED: October 8, 2022 at 12:35 p.m.
    Sea level is rising more rapidly in the Humboldt Bay region than in any other place on the US West Coast. Cal Poly
    Humboldt’s Center for Sea Level Rise has been looking at the implications and last Monday, the San Francisco Chronicle
    gave us feature treatment.
    4
    Sea level rise became news in the 1970s. Studies were published and in 1988 the UN formed the Intergovernmental
    Panel on Climate Change was formed. Since 1993, satellite altimetry has provided a global picture of the rising oceans.
    The current estimate of average sea level rise is 3.4 millimeters (.13 inches) per year. There is no gray area here, it is a
    measured fact.
    But the ocean isn’t a bathtub, and the rise is not uniform, rising more rapidly in some areas and dropping in others. How
    water level changes locally is a function of many variables. The three most important are thermal expansion, the supply
    of water, and deformation of the sea floor.
    Water expands as it warms. A warmer ocean raises sea level with no additional water. Expansion rates are complex and
    depend on salinity, temperature, and pressure. There are seasonal changes and longer ones. Thermal expansion in
    strong El Niño years can raise the background tide levels by nearly a foot.
    Added water comes from three main sources: valley glaciers, the Greenland ice sheet, and the Antarctic ice sheet. I
    called them the three dominos when I taught about sea level rise. Alas, the valley glaciers are nearly gone and much of
    their contribution is already in the ocean. Melting of the Greenland ice sheet is well underway and all eyes are now on
    Antarctica. It will be the primary driver of sea level rise over the next century.
    Little attention is paid to seafloor depth. It is not a constant. The weight of sediment, ice, or lava flows can depress it;
    removing weight causes it to rise. Tectonic stresses squeeze or stretch the crust.
    Ice sheet melting and the warming climate are my top concerns when it comes to the future of human habitability but
    the response of sea levels to tectonics is closer to my area of expertise. I am fascinated by how sea levels give a picture
    of the forces at work beneath our feet.
    Sometimes those forces work quickly. The Great Alaska earthquake in 1964 lowered some areas by as much as 8 feet.
    Other locations like Montague Island rose up 30 feet. But most tectonic changes are very slow, occurring over decades
    and centuries as strain accumulates in between major earthquakes.
    Tide gauges provide a record of those subtle changes. By averaging daily water levels, regional trends going back a half‐
    century or longer emerge. NOAA maintains fifteen tide gauges in California. South of Cape Mendocino, they all show a
    rising sea at rates between 1 and 2.5 mm/year. The North Spit tide gauge south of Fairhaven on the Samoa Peninsula
    has a rate about twice as high, just below 5 mm/year. And to further complicate the story, Crescent City, 65 miles north
    of Humboldt Bay, is the only site on the California coast where sea level is falling. The land is rising more rapidly than the
    water.
    Something very unusual is going on along the Northern California coast. Ocean temperatures and water supply are
    essentially the same yet over a space of 65 miles, we have the most rapidly dropping and the highest uplifting coasts in
    the State. The culprit has to be tectonics.
    USGS scientist George Plafker was the first to note an unusual pattern of land level changes after the 1964 Alaska
    earthquake. He spent more than a year documenting areas that had uplifted and those that had dropped and proposed
    what today we know of as the megathrust earthquake cycle. In between great earthquakes, the slow forces of the
    subducting plate pull down the land near the edge of the plate offshore and squeeze the area further away causing a
    bulge.
    The Cascadia subduction zone is similar to the geologic setting that produced the Alaska earthquake. The edge roughly
    coincides with the continental shelf. It is almost at the coast at Cape Mendocino and is further and further offshore
    heading north into Oregon and Washington. The simple megathrust model means we would expect that areas in
    Humboldt and Del Norte County where the edge is closer to be pulled down during interseismic times.
    5
    Tide gauges show a more complex story. The relative sea‐level drop in Crescent City and Port Orford in southern Oregon
    point to a rising coast. But what is going on in Humboldt Bay?
    Ah, the complexities of subduction zones. They aren’t a single fault and Humboldt County is one of the few places on the
    planet where we can see the complexity on land. We are perched on the edge of the North American plate and the
    Gorda plate is being pulled beneath us. The pull may be slow, but it is relentless causing the edge to crumple, fold and,
    in some cases, break.
    The 60‐mile zone from the edge to the coast, the accretionary fold and thrust belt. The crumpling created Humboldt Bay
    and the lagoons. Secondary faults such as the Little Salmon and the Mad River fault zone cut across the coastal area. All
    of these features are also deforming at slow rates.
    Could we get a better picture of Humboldt Bay if we had more tide gauges? Yes, and fortunately a group from Cascadia
    Geosciences led by Jason Patton has done this. There were temporary tide gauges in the past at a number of Bay
    locations and this team was able to track down four of them and compare their rates to the NOAA gauge. No surprise —
    their data show differences in rates around the Bay and one area is dropping even more quickly. Their paper is coming
    out soon and I will revisit the story then.
    The implication for Humboldt is enormous. It will require moving wastewater treatment plants and moving/protecting
    roads and highways. Proposed developments like Arcata’s Gateway project will find themselves in the tsunami hazard
    zone. And of course, these rates won’t continue indefinitely. They are signs of accumulating strain on faults that will
    eventually rupture. When that happens, the Bay will look substantially different.
    Note: * NOAA maintains a global database of relative sea level rise as measured by tide gauges at
    https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/, the Chronicle article is at
    https://www.sfchronicle.com/climate/article/california‐sea‐level‐rise‐17478689.php.
    Lori Dengler is an emeritus professor of geology at Cal Poly Humboldt, an expert in tsunami and earthquake hazards.
    Questions or comments about this column, or want a free copy of the preparedness magazine “Living on Shaky Ground”?
    Leave a message at 707‐826‐6019 or email [email protected].

    Upon the next revision of a local hazard mitigation plan, adopted in accordance with the federal Disaster Mitigation Act
    of 2000 (Public Law 106‐390), on or after January 1, 2017, or, if a local jurisdiction has not adopted a local hazard
    mitigation plan, beginning on or before January 1, 2022, the safety element shall be reviewed and updated as necessary
    to address climate adaptation and resiliency strategies applicable to the city or county. This review shall consider advice
    provided in the Office of Planning and Research’s General Plan Guidelines and shall include all of the following:
    A vulnerability assessment that identifies the risks that climate change poses to the local jurisdiction and the geographic
    areas at risk from climate change impacts, including, but not limited to, an assessment of how climate change may affect
    the risks addressed to the Arcata WasteWater Treatment Plant and Gateway Area Plan. The Humboldt County Grand
    Jury report The Sea Also Rises states that Antarctica could disintegrate within ten years leading to flooding the roads to
    the Arcata Wastewater Treatment Plant and creating an island.
    https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/#/layer/slr/3/‐
    13813859.28977252/4993173.846714883/14/satellite/none/0.8/2050/interHigh/midAccretion
    Making California’s Coast
    Resilient to Sea Level Rise:
    Principles for Aligned State Action
    6
    California’s coast, bays, estuaries, and ocean are facing an immediate threat from sea‐
    level rise. To improve effectiveness in addressing the immediate challenge of adapting
    our state to sea‐level rise, California state agencies with coastal, bay, and shoreline
    climate resilience responsibilities, including for coastal infrastructure and Californians’
    safety, endorse the following Principles for Aligned State Action. These Principles will guide
    unified, effective action toward sea‐level rise resilience for California’s coastal
    communities, ecosystems, and economies around:
    Best Available Science, Partnerships, Alignment, Communications,
    Local Support, Coastal Resilience Projects, and Equity
    Background
    • Californians’ safety, local and state economies, critical infrastructure, and natural
    resources face increasing threats from sea‐level rise (SLR).
    • Every scientific assessment since California’s 2009 Climate Adaptation Strategy has
    revealed that coastal impacts from climate change‐caused SLR will occur more
    quickly and be more severe than previously projected. California’s coast faces a
    significant risk of experiencing SLR of up to 1.0 feet by 2030 and 7.6 feet by 2100.
    • Projections of future SLR point to significant impacts to California communities, with
    considerable environmental justice implications, upwards of hundreds of billions of
    dollars in impacts to property and development, impacts to statewide and regional
    water supplies, as well as significant damage to and loss of many miles of beaches,
    tidepools, coastal rivers, estuaries, and wetlands.
    • As California has repeatedly demonstrated, a bold, statewide climate agenda
    benefits our natural resources, health and safety, economy, critical infrastructure,
    and communities. Our state has led global efforts on climate change mitigation
    and is poised to do so on climate change adaptation.
    • These Principles will enable California to scale up coastal resiliency efforts through
    aligned strategies that create consistent, efficient decision‐making processes and
    actions coastwide while improving collaboration across state, local, tribal, and
    federal partners.
    • Action now saves up to six times the cost of action later, allows time for the state
    and communities to test and leverage needed solutions, and prevents untold
    impacts. By enhancing alignment and partnerships now, we will significantly
    improve the climate resiliency of our coast, bays, shorelines, and communities,
    particularly frontline communities most vulnerable to the impacts of SLR.
    Goal
    1. Develop and Utilize Best Available Science
    • Apply best available science to planning, decision‐making, project design, and
    implementation. Prioritize frequent engagement with stakeholders to ensure the
    science is actionable.
    • Utilize SLR targets based on the best available science and a minimum of 3.5
    feet of SLR by 2050. Develop and utilize more protective baseline 2050 and 2100
    targets for road, rail, port, power plants, water and waste systems, and other
    Please address the conflicts the Gateway Area Draft Plan has with the California Coastal Act, Sea Level Rise,Local Coastal
    Program and SB1000.
    7
    Sincerely,
    Gregory Daggett